Audax Italiano 4-3 Union La Calera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audax Italiano EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.49/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.40
-2% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 72%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
19.8 Crosses 16.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audax Italiano
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Union La Calera
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.39 xG 0.93
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 Passes 283
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-0 HT 1-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
02.09.2024 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-1 HT 0-1 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
15.04.2024 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 2-2 HT 1-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
25.09.2023 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 2-1 HT 1-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
19.03.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 0-0 HT 0-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
10.10.2022 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 0-2 HT 0-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audax Italiano
4-3
AWAY Union La Calera
1.27 xG 1.15
34% Ball Possession 66%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
165 Passes 374
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Audax Italiano vs Union La Calera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audax Italiano edged past Union La Calera 4-3. It was 1-3 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Audax Italiano as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Audax Italiano had 34% of the ball to Union La Calera's 66%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.27 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union La Calera led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Audax Italiano and 1.33 for Union La Calera.

What was the final score of Audax Italiano vs Union La Calera?

Audax Italiano 4-3 Union La Calera in the Chile - Premier League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audax Italiano vs Union La Calera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Audax Italiano win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Audax Italiano 41%, draw 27%, Union La Calera 32%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Audax Italiano), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Audax Italiano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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