Sturm Graz II 0-2 First Vienna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.77
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 30% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.48
1/2
6%
24.0
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
10%
6.75
X/2
15%
5.29
X/X
16%
5.08
2/1
5%
29.0
2/2
21%
3.06
2/X
4%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-0.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz II EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY First Vienna EU Bookmakers 46%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
1.07/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.32
-15% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 83%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.7 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY First Vienna
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.04.2025 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 4-1 HT 3-0 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
04.10.2024 First Vienna First Vienna 2-4 HT 1-2 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
24.02.2024 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 1-1 HT 0-1 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
06.08.2023 First Vienna First Vienna 2-2 HT 1-0 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
12.05.2023 First Vienna First Vienna 1-0 HT 0-0 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
09.10.2022 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 0-1 HT 0-1 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sturm Graz II
0-2
AWAY First Vienna
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz II vs First Vienna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

First Vienna beat Sturm Graz II 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had First Vienna as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sturm Graz II had 49% of the ball to First Vienna's 51%, shots finished 6-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sturm Graz II and 1.33 for First Vienna.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz II vs First Vienna?

Sturm Graz II 0-2 First Vienna in the Austria - 1st Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz II vs First Vienna?

Before kick-off our model rated an First Vienna win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz II 31%, draw 27%, First Vienna 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (First Vienna) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (First Vienna) ✗ Over 2.5
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