Sturm Graz II 1-1 First Vienna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.5
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
40%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.71
2-3 Goals
45%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.84
6+ Goals
9%
7.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
20%
5.89
1/2
7%
20.95
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
9%
8.7
X/2
11%
4.4
X/X
15%
5.78
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.29
2/X
5%
13.55
Value flag · 1/1 at 5.89 — our 20% vs market 12.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
25%
+7.9pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.9pp
40%
Away Win
52%
-11.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.9pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz II EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY First Vienna EU Bookmakers 56%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.44/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.06/0.06
+20% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -97% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 78%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.7 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz II
0W-1D-2L
AWAY First Vienna
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 1
06.08.2023 First Vienna First Vienna 2-2 HT 1-0 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
12.05.2023 First Vienna First Vienna 1-0 HT 0-0 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
09.10.2022 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 0-1 HT 0-1 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sturm Graz II
1-1
AWAY First Vienna
38% Ball Possession 62%
3 Total Shots 14
3 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz II vs First Vienna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sturm Graz II and First Vienna shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Sturm Graz II had 38% of the ball to First Vienna's 62%, shots finished 3-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, First Vienna led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sturm Graz II and 1.33 for First Vienna.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz II vs First Vienna?

Sturm Graz II 1-1 First Vienna in the Austria - 1st Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz II vs First Vienna?

Before kick-off our model rated an First Vienna win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz II 33%, draw 27%, First Vienna 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (First Vienna), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (First Vienna) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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