Grazer AK 3-0 FC Dornbirn 1913 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.32
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.48
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
21%
2.92
6+ Goals
17%
8.49
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.48 — our 24% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.57
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
21.45
X/1
17%
3.46
X/2
4%
17.45
X/X
9%
7.38
2/1
9%
22.3
2/2
5%
13.7
2/X
7%
21.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
71%
-6.1pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.7pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.1pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Dornbirn 1913 EU Bookmakers 14%
+17% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
2.11/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/2.54
+3% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +4%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
23.0 Crosses 13.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grazer AK
5W-1D-0L
AWAY FC Dornbirn 1913
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.08.2023 FC Dornbirn 1913 FC Dornbirn 1913 0-1 HT 0-1 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
04.06.2023 FC Dornbirn 1913 FC Dornbirn 1913 1-1 HT 0-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
05.11.2022 Grazer AK Grazer AK 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Dornbirn 1913 FC Dornbirn 1913 AU2
07.05.2022 Grazer AK Grazer AK 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Dornbirn 1913 FC Dornbirn 1913 AU2
30.10.2021 FC Dornbirn 1913 FC Dornbirn 1913 1-2 HT 0-1 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
27.02.2021 FC Dornbirn 1913 FC Dornbirn 1913 1-3 HT 1-2 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grazer AK
3-0
AWAY FC Dornbirn 1913
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Grazer AK vs FC Dornbirn 1913
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grazer AK swept aside FC Dornbirn 1913 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Grazer AK as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Grazer AK had 55% of the ball to FC Dornbirn 1913's 45%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grazer AK had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Grazer AK and 0.50 for FC Dornbirn 1913.

What was the final score of Grazer AK vs FC Dornbirn 1913?

Grazer AK 3-0 FC Dornbirn 1913 in the Austria - 1st Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grazer AK vs FC Dornbirn 1913?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grazer AK win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Grazer AK 65%, draw 20%, FC Dornbirn 1913 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grazer AK), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Grazer AK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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