Bregenz 0-1 Amstetten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.73
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 28% vs market 21.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.15
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
20%
5.11
X/2
11%
6.34
X/X
8%
4.84
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
11%
4.26
2/X
11%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+2.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.0pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bregenz EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Amstetten EU Bookmakers 34%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -12%
2.51/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.99
+57% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
Crosses 15.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bregenz
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Amstetten
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Corners 5
05.08.2023 Amstetten Amstetten 1-2 HT 0-1 Bregenz Bregenz AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bregenz
0-1
AWAY Amstetten
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 3
9 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Bregenz vs Amstetten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amstetten nicked a narrow win over Bregenz 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Bregenz at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Bregenz had 56% of the ball to Amstetten's 44%, shots finished 8-3.

What was the final score of Bregenz vs Amstetten?

Bregenz 0-1 Amstetten in the Austria - 1st Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bregenz vs Amstetten?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bregenz win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bregenz 45%, draw 25%, Amstetten 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bregenz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bregenz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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