Melbourne Victory 0-0 Auckland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒11:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.68
No
40%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.26
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.44
6+ Goals
11%
13.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.16
1/2
5%
27.5
1/X
9%
12.4
X/1
19%
6.24
X/2
9%
5.62
X/X
12%
4.46
2/1
5%
30.0
2/2
24%
3.53
2/X
6%
12.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Auckland win — 38%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+0.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+4.6pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Victory EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Auckland EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.34/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.05
-11% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +62%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
16.9 Crosses 18.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne Victory
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Auckland
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.60 xG 1.11
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
294 Passes 230
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2025 Auckland Auckland 0-2 HT 0-0 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory AVUS
17.05.2025 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 0-1 HT 0-0 Auckland Auckland AVUS
19.04.2025 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 0-2 HT 0-0 Auckland Auckland AVUS
01.01.2025 Auckland Auckland 0-0 HT 0-0 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melbourne Victory
0-0
AWAY Auckland
0.79 xG 1.45
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 2
301 Passes 329
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Melbourne Victory vs Auckland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Victory and Auckland fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Melbourne Victory had 48% of the ball to Auckland's 52%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.79 to 1.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Auckland led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Melbourne Victory and 0.75 for Auckland.

What was the final score of Melbourne Victory vs Auckland?

Melbourne Victory 0-0 Auckland in the Australia - A-League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Victory vs Auckland?

Before kick-off our model rated an Auckland win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Victory 35%, draw 27%, Auckland 38%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Auckland) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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