Ajman 1-2 Khorfakkan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 18 Oct 2025

Ajman
1-2 HT 0-1
Khorfakkan
📅18/10/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
UAE - League – 2025/2026

Ajman vs Khorfakkan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.73
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.01
6+ Goals
12%
9.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
15%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-0.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.3pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ajman v Khorfakkan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajman EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Khorfakkan EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.48/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.43
-15% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 74%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
16.3 Crosses 18.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Ajman vs Khorfakkan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajman
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Khorfakkan
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.37 xG 1.39
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
334 Passes 294
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.01.2025 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 0-2 HT 0-1 Ajman Ajman BAE
18.10.2024 Ajman Ajman 2-1 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAECK
27.04.2024 Ajman Ajman 3-0 HT 2-1 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
26.11.2023 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 1-2 HT 1-1 Ajman Ajman BAE
10.03.2023 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 2-2 HT 2-0 Ajman Ajman BAE
16.10.2022 Ajman Ajman 0-0 HT 0-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE

Ajman 1-2 Khorfakkan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajman
1-2
AWAY Khorfakkan
1.59 xG 0.84
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
264 Passes 244
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ajman vs Khorfakkan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khorfakkan squeezed past Ajman 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ajman at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ajman had 52% of the ball to Khorfakkan's 48%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 1.59 to 0.84 — on chances, Ajman could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajman had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ajman and 0.67 for Khorfakkan.

What was the final score of Ajman vs Khorfakkan?

Ajman 1-2 Khorfakkan in the UAE - League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajman vs Khorfakkan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajman win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ajman 49%, draw 25%, Khorfakkan 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ajman) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ajman) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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