Union Saint-Gilloise vs Sporting Charleroi Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Saint-Gilloise v Sporting Charleroi — Team-Based Signals
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Sporting Charleroi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
Union Saint-Gilloise
BEL
3-1
HT 3-1
Sporting Charleroi
BEL
0-1
HT 0-1
Union Saint-Gilloise
BEL
1-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Charleroi
BEL
Union Saint-Gilloise 3-1 Sporting Charleroi — Actual Match Statistics
Union Saint-Gilloise beat Sporting Charleroi 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise had 51% of the ball to Sporting Charleroi's 49%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 0.94 to 0.73.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Union Saint-Gilloise and 0.50 for Sporting Charleroi.
What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs Sporting Charleroi?
Union Saint-Gilloise 3-1 Sporting Charleroi in the Belgium - Pro League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Sporting Charleroi?
Before kick-off our model rated a Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 68%, draw 21%, Sporting Charleroi 11%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.