Persebaya Surabaya 1-3 Persija Jakarta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
27%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.91
Over 2.5
41%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.68
No
57%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
37%
+11.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
27%
Away Win
36%
-9.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.3pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Persija Jakarta EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.33/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.24
+6% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persebaya Surabaya
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Persija Jakarta
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
465 Passes 307
12.04.2025 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta 1-1 HT 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
22.11.2024 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 2-1 HT 0-1 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta ENDL1
16.12.2022 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta 1-1 HT 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
14.02.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 3-3 HT 1-1 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta ENDL1
26.10.2021 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta 0-1 HT 0-1 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
17.12.2019 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta 1-2 HT 1-2 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Persebaya Surabaya
1-3
AWAY Persija Jakarta
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Persebaya Surabaya vs Persija Jakarta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persija Jakarta got the better of Persebaya Surabaya 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Persebaya Surabaya at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Persebaya Surabaya had 50% of the ball to Persija Jakarta's 50%, shots finished 9-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Persebaya Surabaya had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Persebaya Surabaya and 1.17 for Persija Jakarta.

What was the final score of Persebaya Surabaya vs Persija Jakarta?

Persebaya Surabaya 1-3 Persija Jakarta in the Indonesia League 1 on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persebaya Surabaya vs Persija Jakarta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persebaya Surabaya win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Persebaya Surabaya 48%, draw 25%, Persija Jakarta 27%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ENDL1 More Indonesia League 1
18 Oct 2025
11:30 Borneo FC vs Persik Kediri Analysis →