Aurora 2-1 Achuapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 18 Oct 2025

Aurora
2-1 HT 2-1
Achuapa
📅18/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Guatemala - National League – 2025/2026

Aurora vs Achuapa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.16
No
49%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
56%
+0.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.6pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aurora v Achuapa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Achuapa EU Bookmakers 21%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.13
-41% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Aurora vs Achuapa Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aurora
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Achuapa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.08.2025 Achuapa Achuapa 1-2 HT 0-1 Aurora Aurora GUAT

Aurora 2-1 Achuapa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aurora
2-1
AWAY Achuapa
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 6
12 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aurora vs Achuapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora squeezed past Achuapa 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aurora as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Aurora had 51% of the ball to Achuapa's 49%, shots finished 19-6.

What was the final score of Aurora vs Achuapa?

Aurora 2-1 Achuapa in the Guatemala - National League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs Achuapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Aurora 56%, draw 25%, Achuapa 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aurora), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aurora) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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