Omiya Ardija 1-0 Fujieda MYFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.8
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
2.84
6+ Goals
13%
8.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
52%
+1.7pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.9pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.1pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Fujieda MYFC EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -11%
1.34/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.55
-14% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.5 Crosses 20.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Omiya Ardija
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Fujieda MYFC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
192 Passes 238
66% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 4
17.05.2025 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 0-1 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
22.10.2023 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 2-3 HT 1-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
11.06.2023 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 2-3 HT 1-3 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija
1-0
AWAY Fujieda MYFC
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 8
199 Passes 230
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
12 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija vs Fujieda MYFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija edged past Fujieda MYFC 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Omiya Ardija as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Omiya Ardija had 46% of the ball to Fujieda MYFC's 54%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Omiya Ardija had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Omiya Ardija and 1.67 for Fujieda MYFC.

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija vs Fujieda MYFC?

Omiya Ardija 1-0 Fujieda MYFC in the Japan - J2 League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija vs Fujieda MYFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija 53%, draw 21%, Fujieda MYFC 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Omiya Ardija) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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