Sagan Tosu 1-0 Blaublitz Akita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.6
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.07
6+ Goals
9%
20.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagan Tosu EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Blaublitz Akita EU Bookmakers 29%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +11%
1.73/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.07
+26% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses 16.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagan Tosu
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Blaublitz Akita
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
371 Passes 200
82% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
17.05.2025 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita 1-2 HT 1-1 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagan Tosu
1-0
AWAY Blaublitz Akita
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 0
448 Passes 283
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sagan Tosu vs Blaublitz Akita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagan Tosu nicked a narrow win over Blaublitz Akita 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sagan Tosu as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sagan Tosu had 59% of the ball to Blaublitz Akita's 41%, shots finished 13-8.

What was the final score of Sagan Tosu vs Blaublitz Akita?

Sagan Tosu 1-0 Blaublitz Akita in the Japan - J2 League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagan Tosu vs Blaublitz Akita?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sagan Tosu win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sagan Tosu 48%, draw 26%, Blaublitz Akita 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sagan Tosu), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sagan Tosu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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