V-Varen Nagasaki 4-0 Ventforet Kofu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.93
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
8.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-6.6pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.9pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 20%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
2.03/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.38
+0% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +21%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
403 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.9 Crosses 13.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
500 Passes 345
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.04.2025 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-1 HT 1-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
14.07.2024 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 2-2 HT 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
24.03.2024 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-1 HT 0-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
20.10.2023 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-1 HT 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
07.06.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 0-1 HT 0-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JPK
12.04.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 2-1 HT 0-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
4-0
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
533 Passes 309
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH V-Varen Nagasaki vs Ventforet Kofu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

V-Varen Nagasaki ran out comfortable winners over Ventforet Kofu 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had V-Varen Nagasaki as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, V-Varen Nagasaki had 61% of the ball to Ventforet Kofu's 39%, shots finished 16-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for V-Varen Nagasaki and 1.17 for Ventforet Kofu.

What was the final score of V-Varen Nagasaki vs Ventforet Kofu?

V-Varen Nagasaki 4-0 Ventforet Kofu in the Japan - J2 League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Ventforet Kofu?

Before kick-off our model rated a V-Varen Nagasaki win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split V-Varen Nagasaki 56%, draw 23%, Ventforet Kofu 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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