Ventforet Kofu 1-1 V-Varen Nagasaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.9
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.7
6+ Goals
10%
16.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
32%
+9.3pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.5pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-4.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.23/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.25
+10% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.6 Crosses 16.1
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ventforet Kofu
1W-3D-2L
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.07.2024 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 2-2 HT 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
24.03.2024 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-1 HT 0-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
20.10.2023 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-1 HT 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
07.06.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 0-1 HT 0-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JPK
12.04.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 2-1 HT 0-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
02.07.2022 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 0-1 HT 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ventforet Kofu
1-1
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 8
345 Passes 500
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ventforet Kofu vs V-Varen Nagasaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ventforet Kofu and V-Varen Nagasaki couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ventforet Kofu at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ventforet Kofu had 43% of the ball to V-Varen Nagasaki's 57%, shots finished 11-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, V-Varen Nagasaki led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ventforet Kofu and 1.17 for V-Varen Nagasaki.

What was the final score of Ventforet Kofu vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Ventforet Kofu 1-1 V-Varen Nagasaki in the Japan - J2 League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ventforet Kofu vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ventforet Kofu win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ventforet Kofu 42%, draw 24%, V-Varen Nagasaki 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ventforet Kofu), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ventforet Kofu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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