Ventforet Kofu 2-2 V-Varen Nagasaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.75
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.83
6+ Goals
11%
7.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-4.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
47%
Away Win
44%
+3.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.2pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +16%
1.13/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.00
+2% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
296 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 453 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ventforet Kofu
2W-2D-2L
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
24.03.2024 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-1 HT 0-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
20.10.2023 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-1 HT 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
07.06.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 0-1 HT 0-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JPK
12.04.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 2-1 HT 0-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
02.07.2022 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 0-1 HT 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
05.03.2022 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-2 HT 1-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ventforet Kofu
2-2
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ventforet Kofu vs V-Varen Nagasaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ventforet Kofu and V-Varen Nagasaki shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was V-Varen Nagasaki at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ventforet Kofu had 40% of the ball to V-Varen Nagasaki's 60%, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ventforet Kofu and 1.00 for V-Varen Nagasaki.

What was the final score of Ventforet Kofu vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Ventforet Kofu 2-2 V-Varen Nagasaki in the Japan - J2 League on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ventforet Kofu vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Before kick-off our model rated an V-Varen Nagasaki win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ventforet Kofu 28%, draw 25%, V-Varen Nagasaki 47%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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