JEF United 0-2 Roasso Kumamoto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.77
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.23
6+ Goals
14%
11.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
50%
+2.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +0%
1.17/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.13
-24% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
289 Passes 514
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-0 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
03.09.2023 JEF United JEF United 1-0 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
21.04.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 2-2 HT 0-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
25.09.2022 JEF United JEF United 0-1 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
21.05.2022 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-1 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
26.07.2015 JEF United JEF United 2-3 HT 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United
0-2
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH JEF United vs Roasso Kumamoto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roasso Kumamoto got the better of JEF United 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was JEF United at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, JEF United had 48% of the ball to Roasso Kumamoto's 52%, shots finished 7-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roasso Kumamoto led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for JEF United and 1.33 for Roasso Kumamoto.

What was the final score of JEF United vs Roasso Kumamoto?

JEF United 0-2 Roasso Kumamoto in the Japan - J2 League on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Before kick-off our model rated a JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split JEF United 52%, draw 23%, Roasso Kumamoto 25%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (JEF United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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