Roasso Kumamoto 1-0 JEF United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 30 Mar 2024

Roasso Kumamoto
1-0 HT 0-0
JEF United
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Japan - J2 League – 2024

Roasso Kumamoto vs JEF United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
46%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.01
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.88
6+ Goals
10%
17.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 30% vs market 27.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+4.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.5pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Roasso Kumamoto v JEF United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United EU Bookmakers 45%
-16% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -19%
1.00/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.25
-11% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
354 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5

Roasso Kumamoto vs JEF United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
2W-3D-1L
AWAY JEF United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
514 Passes 289
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.09.2023 JEF United JEF United 1-0 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
21.04.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 2-2 HT 0-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
25.09.2022 JEF United JEF United 0-1 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
21.05.2022 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-1 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
26.07.2015 JEF United JEF United 2-3 HT 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
17.08.2014 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 0-0 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2

Roasso Kumamoto 1-0 JEF United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
1-0
AWAY JEF United
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Roasso Kumamoto vs JEF United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roasso Kumamoto nicked a narrow win over JEF United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was JEF United at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Roasso Kumamoto had 56% of the ball to JEF United's 44%, shots finished 10-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roasso Kumamoto had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Roasso Kumamoto and 1.00 for JEF United.

What was the final score of Roasso Kumamoto vs JEF United?

Roasso Kumamoto 1-0 JEF United in the Japan - J2 League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roasso Kumamoto vs JEF United?

Before kick-off our model rated an JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Roasso Kumamoto 29%, draw 25%, JEF United 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (JEF United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JEF United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2 More Japan - J2 League
30 Mar 2024
07:00 Ventforet Kofu vs Renofa Yamaguchi Analysis →
08:00 Montedio Yamagata vs Shimizu S-Pulse Analysis →
08:00 Yokohama FC vs Vegalta Sendai Analysis →
08:00 Mito HollyHock vs Kagoshima United Analysis →
08:00 Tokushima Vortis vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma Analysis →
08:00 Blaublitz Akita vs Iwaki Analysis →