Tokushima Vortis 0-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.43
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.93
6+ Goals
10%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.7pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.18/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.39
-10% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokushima Vortis
3W-3D-0L
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
01.07.2023 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 0-0 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
23.04.2023 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-0 HT 0-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
26.06.2022 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 1-0 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
08.05.2022 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-0 HT 0-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
01.11.2020 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 2-3 HT 2-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
05.09.2020 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 2-0 HT 1-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokushima Vortis
0-1
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Tokushima Vortis vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ThespaKusatsu Gunma edged past Tokushima Vortis 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day ThespaKusatsu Gunma made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Tokushima Vortis had 46% of the ball to ThespaKusatsu Gunma's 54%, shots finished 15-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tokushima Vortis had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tokushima Vortis and 0.33 for ThespaKusatsu Gunma.

What was the final score of Tokushima Vortis vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Tokushima Vortis 0-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma in the Japan - J2 League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokushima Vortis vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokushima Vortis win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tokushima Vortis 39%, draw 27%, ThespaKusatsu Gunma 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tokushima Vortis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tokushima Vortis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2 More Japan - J2 League
30 Mar 2024
07:00 Ventforet Kofu vs Renofa Yamaguchi Analysis →
08:00 Montedio Yamagata vs Shimizu S-Pulse Analysis →
08:00 Yokohama FC vs Vegalta Sendai Analysis →
08:00 Mito HollyHock vs Kagoshima United Analysis →
08:00 Blaublitz Akita vs Iwaki Analysis →
08:00 Oita Trinita vs Fagiano Okayama Analysis →