Oita Trinita 0-0 Fagiano Okayama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.53
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.68
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.1pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +6%
1.20/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.90
+7% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oita Trinita
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
306 Passes 226
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.08.2023 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-0 HT 0-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
17.06.2023 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 1-0 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
10.07.2022 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 2-2 HT 2-1 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
21.05.2022 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-0 HT 0-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
27.09.2015 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-0 HT 0-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
26.10.2014 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 1-0 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oita Trinita
0-0
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Oita Trinita vs Fagiano Okayama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oita Trinita and Fagiano Okayama played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Fagiano Okayama at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Oita Trinita had 57% of the ball to Fagiano Okayama's 43%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fagiano Okayama led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Oita Trinita and 0.83 for Fagiano Okayama.

What was the final score of Oita Trinita vs Fagiano Okayama?

Oita Trinita 0-0 Fagiano Okayama in the Japan - J2 League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oita Trinita vs Fagiano Okayama?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fagiano Okayama win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Oita Trinita 31%, draw 28%, Fagiano Okayama 41%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fagiano Okayama) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fagiano Okayama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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