Montedio Yamagata 2-0 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
40%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.53
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.68
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
24%
+8.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
40%
Away Win
48%
-7.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 52%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.58/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.55
+51% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -31%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
258 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montedio Yamagata
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.11.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-0 HT 0-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
09.09.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 3-0 HT 3-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
03.06.2023 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 2-1 HT 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
07.11.2015 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 1-2 HT 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
29.04.2015 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 3-3 HT 3-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP
18.03.2015 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 3-1 HT 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montedio Yamagata
2-0
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Montedio Yamagata vs Shimizu S-Pulse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montedio Yamagata beat Shimizu S-Pulse 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Montedio Yamagata found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Montedio Yamagata had 51% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 49%, shots finished 16-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Montedio Yamagata and 1.67 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

What was the final score of Montedio Yamagata vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Montedio Yamagata 2-0 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - J2 League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montedio Yamagata vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Montedio Yamagata 32%, draw 28%, Shimizu S-Pulse 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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