Oita Trinita 0-2 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.04
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
41%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.7
6+ Goals
8%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 32% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
21%
+8.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
41%
Away Win
53%
-11.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.3pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 57%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
0.44/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/0.77
-55% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +24%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 457 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oita Trinita
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.48 xG 1.31
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
514 Passes 431
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2024 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 2-0 HT 1-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
09.07.2023 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 1-2 HT 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
12.03.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-0 HT 0-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
04.07.2021 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-0 HT 0-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP
02.05.2021 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 1-0 HT 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
03.10.2020 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 2-1 HT 1-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oita Trinita
0-2
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Oita Trinita vs Shimizu S-Pulse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse beat Oita Trinita 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shimizu S-Pulse as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Oita Trinita had 52% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 48%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shimizu S-Pulse led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Oita Trinita and 1.00 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

What was the final score of Oita Trinita vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Oita Trinita 0-2 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - J2 League on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oita Trinita vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Oita Trinita 30%, draw 29%, Shimizu S-Pulse 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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