Montedio Yamagata 2-3 Ehime FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.33
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.31
6+ Goals
10%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 27% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ehime FC EU Bookmakers 25%
-4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
1.93/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.52
+10% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.5 Crosses 13.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montedio Yamagata
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Ehime FC
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
265 Passes 216
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2024 Ehime FC Ehime FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
20.04.2024 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 2-1 HT 1-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
25.09.2021 Ehime FC Ehime FC 0-4 HT 0-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
16.05.2021 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 1-0 HT 1-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
18.10.2020 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 4-1 HT 2-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
12.08.2020 Ehime FC Ehime FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montedio Yamagata
2-3
AWAY Ehime FC
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
431 Passes 141
81% Pass Accuracy 68%
30 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Montedio Yamagata vs Ehime FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ehime FC edged past Montedio Yamagata 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Montedio Yamagata at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Montedio Yamagata had 65% of the ball to Ehime FC's 35%, shots finished 17-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montedio Yamagata had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Montedio Yamagata and 0.50 for Ehime FC.

What was the final score of Montedio Yamagata vs Ehime FC?

Montedio Yamagata 2-3 Ehime FC in the Japan - J2 League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montedio Yamagata vs Ehime FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montedio Yamagata win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Montedio Yamagata 52%, draw 25%, Ehime FC 23%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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