Ehime FC 1-3 Montedio Yamagata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
48%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.55
2-3 Goals
35%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
2.89
6+ Goals
16%
8.27
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.55 — our 27% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+2.8pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.0pp
48%
Away Win
57%
-8.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.8pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ehime FC EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.97/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/0.38
+2% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +100%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ehime FC
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
20.04.2024 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 2-1 HT 1-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
25.09.2021 Ehime FC Ehime FC 0-4 HT 0-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
16.05.2021 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 1-0 HT 1-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
18.10.2020 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 4-1 HT 2-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
12.08.2020 Ehime FC Ehime FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
27.10.2019 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 3-0 HT 1-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ehime FC
1-3
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 2
216 Passes 265
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Crosses 14
POST-MATCH Ehime FC vs Montedio Yamagata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montedio Yamagata beat Ehime FC 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Montedio Yamagata as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ehime FC had 50% of the ball to Montedio Yamagata's 50%, shots finished 10-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montedio Yamagata led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Ehime FC and 2.50 for Montedio Yamagata.

What was the final score of Ehime FC vs Montedio Yamagata?

Ehime FC 1-3 Montedio Yamagata in the Japan - J2 League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ehime FC vs Montedio Yamagata?

Before kick-off our model rated an Montedio Yamagata win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ehime FC 24%, draw 28%, Montedio Yamagata 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montedio Yamagata), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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