Yokohama FC 1-1 Oita Trinita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.91
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.0
6+ Goals
9%
18.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 31% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-4.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.2pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.7pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama FC EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 19%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
1.65/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.21
-21% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +40%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.1 Crosses 21.4
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Oita Trinita
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.28 xG 1.03
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
388 Passes 400
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.03.2024 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 0-0 HT 0-0 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP2
09.10.2022 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 2-3 HT 1-2 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
06.03.2022 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 1-2 HT 1-1 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP2
27.11.2021 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 2-0 HT 2-0 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP
06.03.2021 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 1-2 HT 1-2 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP
03.11.2020 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 2-3 HT 2-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama FC
1-1
AWAY Oita Trinita
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
280 Passes 253
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yokohama FC vs Oita Trinita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama FC and Oita Trinita shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Yokohama FC at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Yokohama FC had 54% of the ball to Oita Trinita's 46%, shots finished 7-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oita Trinita led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Yokohama FC and 1.83 for Oita Trinita.

What was the final score of Yokohama FC vs Oita Trinita?

Yokohama FC 1-1 Oita Trinita in the Japan - J2 League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama FC vs Oita Trinita?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yokohama FC win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Yokohama FC 57%, draw 23%, Oita Trinita 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Yokohama FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yokohama FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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