Vegalta Sendai 2-2 Ventforet Kofu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.03
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.86
6+ Goals
9%
17.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 30% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.08/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.34
-17% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vegalta Sendai
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
408 Passes 189
79% Pass Accuracy 65%
24 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.06.2024 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-1 HT 1-1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
03.09.2023 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 0-0 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
08.04.2023 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 0-3 HT 0-2 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
06.07.2022 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 3-0 HT 2-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
03.04.2022 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 2-3 HT 1-1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
02.12.2017 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-0 HT 0-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vegalta Sendai
2-2
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
283 Passes 259
72% Pass Accuracy 69%
13 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vegalta Sendai vs Ventforet Kofu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vegalta Sendai and Ventforet Kofu couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Vegalta Sendai had 51% of the ball to Ventforet Kofu's 49%, shots finished 9-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vegalta Sendai had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Vegalta Sendai and 0.67 for Ventforet Kofu.

What was the final score of Vegalta Sendai vs Ventforet Kofu?

Vegalta Sendai 2-2 Ventforet Kofu in the Japan - J2 League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vegalta Sendai vs Ventforet Kofu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vegalta Sendai win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vegalta Sendai 40%, draw 25%, Ventforet Kofu 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2 More Japan - J2 League
21 Sep 2024
12:00 Yokohama FC vs Oita Trinita Analysis →
12:00 Roasso Kumamoto vs Blaublitz Akita Analysis →
12:00 Ehime FC vs Montedio Yamagata Analysis →
13:00 JEF United vs Renofa Yamaguchi Analysis →