JEF United 4-1 Renofa Yamaguchi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.12
6+ Goals
9%
19.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 28%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.32/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.20
-14% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.3 Crosses 11.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.06.2024 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-2 HT 0-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
29.07.2023 JEF United JEF United 4-0 HT 3-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
03.05.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-1 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
23.10.2022 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-3 HT 1-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
27.04.2022 JEF United JEF United 2-0 HT 2-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
30.10.2021 JEF United JEF United 0-0 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United
4-1
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
320 Passes 159
78% Pass Accuracy 67%
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH JEF United vs Renofa Yamaguchi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United cruised past Renofa Yamaguchi 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had JEF United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, JEF United had 63% of the ball to Renofa Yamaguchi's 37%, shots finished 12-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, JEF United had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for JEF United and 0.50 for Renofa Yamaguchi.

What was the final score of JEF United vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

JEF United 4-1 Renofa Yamaguchi in the Japan - J2 League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Before kick-off our model rated a JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split JEF United 46%, draw 26%, Renofa Yamaguchi 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JEF United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JEF United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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