Nojima Stella (K) 1-2 Omiya Ardija (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.3pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
2.48/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.05
+121% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
276 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nojima Stella (K)
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K)
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
01.03.2025 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) JWEL
22.09.2024 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) JWEL
24.03.2024 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nojima Stella (K)
1-2
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K)
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nojima Stella (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija (K) edged past Nojima Stella (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Omiya Ardija (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Nojima Stella (K) had 54% of the ball to Omiya Ardija (K)'s 46%, shots finished 9-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Omiya Ardija (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Nojima Stella (K) and 1.00 for Omiya Ardija (K).

What was the final score of Nojima Stella (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)?

Nojima Stella (K) 1-2 Omiya Ardija (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nojima Stella (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nojima Stella (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Nojima Stella (K) 35%, draw 30%, Omiya Ardija (K) 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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