Augsdaugava 1-3 Smiltene — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
55%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
7%
X/2
24%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
24%
-5.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
55%
Away Win
52%
+3.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.3pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Augsdaugava EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Smiltene EU Bookmakers 56%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
0.97/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.48
-17% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +132%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Augsdaugava
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Smiltene
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
14.06.2025 Smiltene Smiltene 5-0 HT 3-0 Augsdaugava LET1
POST-MATCH Augsdaugava vs Smiltene
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smiltene beat Augsdaugava 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Smiltene as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Augsdaugava vs Smiltene?

Augsdaugava 1-3 Smiltene in the Latvia - 1st Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Augsdaugava vs Smiltene?

Before kick-off our model rated an Smiltene win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Augsdaugava 18%, draw 27%, Smiltene 55%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Smiltene), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Smiltene) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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