Progress / AFA Olaine vs Skanste Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Progress / AFA Olaine v Skanste — Team-Based Signals
Progress / AFA Olaine vs Skanste Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Skanste
LET1
4-0
HT 2-0
Progress / AFA Olaine
LET1
Progress / AFA Olaine swept aside Skanste 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Skanste at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, over 2.5 goals (73%) landed while both teams to score (64%) missed.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Progress / AFA Olaine and 2.00 for Skanste.
What was the final score of Progress / AFA Olaine vs Skanste?
Progress / AFA Olaine 3-0 Skanste in the Latvia - 1st Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Progress / AFA Olaine vs Skanste?
Before kick-off our model rated an Skanste win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Progress / AFA Olaine 17%, draw 17%, Skanste 66%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Skanste), BTTS Yes went the other way.