Moss 2-4 Kongsvinger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
44%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
2.59
Over 2.5
69%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.43
No
36%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
5.54
2-3 Goals
39%
2.01
4-5 Goals
27%
2.5
6+ Goals
20%
5.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-4.5pp
31%
Under 2.5
35%
-4.0pp
69%
Over 2.5
65%
+4.0pp
64%
BTTS Yes
66%
-2.1pp
36%
BTTS No
34%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moss EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Kongsvinger EU Bookmakers 53%
+6% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.72/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/1.85
+23% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -34%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
279 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moss
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kongsvinger
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2025 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 6-0 HT 2-0 Moss Moss NOR1
01.12.2024 Moss Moss 3-2 HT 1-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
16.09.2024 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 0-0 HT 0-0 Moss Moss NOR1
20.07.2024 Moss Moss 1-0 HT 0-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
12.11.2023 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 1-2 HT 0-2 Moss Moss NOR1
25.06.2023 Moss Moss 0-1 HT 0-1 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
POST-MATCH Moss vs Kongsvinger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kongsvinger saw off Moss 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kongsvinger as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Moss had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Moss and 1.67 for Kongsvinger.

What was the final score of Moss vs Kongsvinger?

Moss 2-4 Kongsvinger in the Norway - 1st Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moss vs Kongsvinger?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kongsvinger win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Moss 32%, draw 24%, Kongsvinger 44%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kongsvinger), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kongsvinger) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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