Tiller 1-1 Surnadal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%
No
29%
1.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
23%
4-5 Goals
43%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.0pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.9pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tiller EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Surnadal EU Bookmakers 43%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+41% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tiller
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Surnadal
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.10.2024 Surnadal Surnadal 2-0 HT 1-0 Tiller Tiller NOR4
04.05.2024 Tiller Tiller 4-1 HT 1-1 Surnadal Surnadal NOR4
POST-MATCH Tiller vs Surnadal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tiller and Surnadal shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (71%) landed while over 2.5 goals (68%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tiller and 1.50 for Surnadal.

What was the final score of Tiller vs Surnadal?

Tiller 1-1 Surnadal in the Norway - 3rd Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tiller vs Surnadal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tiller win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tiller 37%, draw 25%, Surnadal 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/25/37) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR4 More Norway - 3rd Division
18 Oct 2025
00:00 Spjelkavik vs Kristiansund II Analysis →
14:00 Nardo vs Volda Analysis →
14:30 Ullern vs Skjervoy Analysis →
15:00 Orn Horten vs IF Ready Analysis →
15:00 Oppsal vs SF Grei Analysis →
15:00 Madla vs Stord Sunnhordland Analysis →