Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Arka Gdynia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Jagiellonia Bialystok v Arka Gdynia — Team-Based Signals
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Arka Gdynia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Arka Gdynia
POL
0-3
HT 0-2
Jagiellonia Bialystok
POL
0-2
HT 0-0
Jagiellonia Bialystok
POLK
3-1
HT 0-0
Arka Gdynia
POL
0-2
HT 0-1
Jagiellonia Bialystok
POL
3-2
HT 1-1
Arka Gdynia
POL
Jagiellonia Bialystok 4-0 Arka Gdynia — Actual Match Statistics
Jagiellonia Bialystok ran out comfortable winners over Arka Gdynia 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Jagiellonia Bialystok as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Jagiellonia Bialystok had 55% of the ball to Arka Gdynia's 45%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.79 to 0.70.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jagiellonia Bialystok had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Jagiellonia Bialystok and 0.50 for Arka Gdynia.
What was the final score of Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Arka Gdynia?
Jagiellonia Bialystok 4-0 Arka Gdynia in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Arka Gdynia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Jagiellonia Bialystok win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Jagiellonia Bialystok 57%, draw 22%, Arka Gdynia 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.