Cracovia Krakow 2-0 Rakow Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.67
Over 2.5
51%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
4.12
6+ Goals
10%
20.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.32
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
30.5
1/X
6%
13.8
X/1
11%
5.86
X/2
16%
5.24
X/X
12%
4.13
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
13%
3.64
2/X
7%
13.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 30.5 — our 12% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.1pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+2.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.6pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 42%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.32/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.15
+10% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
19.1 Crosses 20.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cracovia Krakow
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.92 xG 1.75
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
185 Passes 424
64% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2025 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 0-0 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
29.07.2024 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 0-1 HT 0-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
19.05.2024 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 2-0 HT 1-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
06.12.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-0 HT 0-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POLK
25.11.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-1 HT 0-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
18.03.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 4-1 HT 1-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cracovia Krakow
2-0
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
1.76 xG 0.08
42% Ball Possession 58%
17 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
252 Passes 404
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cracovia Krakow vs Rakow Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cracovia Krakow saw off Rakow Czestochowa 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Rakow Czestochowa at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Cracovia Krakow had 42% of the ball to Rakow Czestochowa's 58%, shots finished 17-3, expected goals 1.76 to 0.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cracovia Krakow and 1.00 for Rakow Czestochowa.

What was the final score of Cracovia Krakow vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Cracovia Krakow 2-0 Rakow Czestochowa in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cracovia Krakow vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cracovia Krakow 34%, draw 25%, Rakow Czestochowa 41%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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