Ratchaburi 5-0 Lamphun Warrior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
20%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
52%
+2.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
20%
Away Win
24%
-3.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Lamphun Warrior EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.26/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.25
-20% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 74%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
24.7 Crosses 16.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ratchaburi
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Lamphun Warrior
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.29 xG 0.60
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
386 Passes 200
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.02.2025 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-1 HT 1-1 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY
15.09.2024 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 1-0 HT 1-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
09.03.2024 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 2-0 HT 1-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY
29.01.2023 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 1-1 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
28.08.2022 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-0 HT 0-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ratchaburi
5-0
AWAY Lamphun Warrior
2.02 xG 1.03
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
375 Passes 278
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ratchaburi vs Lamphun Warrior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ratchaburi ran out comfortable winners over Lamphun Warrior 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ratchaburi as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ratchaburi had 57% of the ball to Lamphun Warrior's 43%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 2.02 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ratchaburi had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ratchaburi and 0.60 for Lamphun Warrior.

What was the final score of Ratchaburi vs Lamphun Warrior?

Ratchaburi 5-0 Lamphun Warrior in the Thailand - 1st Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ratchaburi vs Lamphun Warrior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ratchaburi win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Ratchaburi 54%, draw 26%, Lamphun Warrior 20%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ratchaburi), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ratchaburi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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