Ben Guerdane 1-1 Gabes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.41
Over 2.5
39%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.44
No
53%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.88
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
15%
6.47
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
27%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.2pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.0pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
67%
-6.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
33%
+6.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
37%
+10.4pp
53%
BTTS No
63%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ben Guerdane EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Gabes EU Bookmakers 25%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.76/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.15
-39% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ben Guerdane
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Gabes
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
20.04.2025 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 3-0 HT 2-0 Gabes Gabes TUN1
20.12.2024 Gabes Gabes 1-1 HT 1-0 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ben Guerdane
1-1
AWAY Gabes
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ben Guerdane vs Gabes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ben Guerdane and Gabes shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ben Guerdane at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Ben Guerdane had 52% of the ball to Gabes's 48%, shots finished 6-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ben Guerdane had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ben Guerdane and 0.50 for Gabes.

What was the final score of Ben Guerdane vs Gabes?

Ben Guerdane 1-1 Gabes in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ben Guerdane vs Gabes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ben Guerdane win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ben Guerdane 48%, draw 30%, Gabes 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ben Guerdane), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ben Guerdane) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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