Academia Puerto Cabello 3-1 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
22%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.3pp
34%
Draw
32%
+1.9pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.2pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +12%
1.34/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.14
+16% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
11.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
11.4 Crosses 16.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.01 xG 0.88
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
331 Passes 330
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2025 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
06.04.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
15.08.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
24.02.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
12.08.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 HT 1-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
02.04.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
3-1
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
1.74 xG 1.52
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 10
178 Passes 374
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Academia Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academia Puerto Cabello beat Deportivo La Guaira 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 34% / 35%) promised a tight game; Academia Puerto Cabello found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Academia Puerto Cabello had 35% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 65%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 1.74 to 1.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Academia Puerto Cabello and 0.50 for Deportivo La Guaira.

What was the final score of Academia Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Academia Puerto Cabello 3-1 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academia Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Academia Puerto Cabello 31%, draw 34%, Deportivo La Guaira 35%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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