El Salvador 1-0 Montserrat — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 18 Nov 2024

📅18/11/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.22
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.25
2-3 Goals
43%
2.0
4-5 Goals
25%
2.75
6+ Goals
11%
7.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
77%
-11.3pp
19%
Draw
14%
+4.8pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Salvador EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Montserrat EU Bookmakers 11%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.84/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.28/2.87
-39% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +16%
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
437 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 72%
11.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 4.4
16.2 Crosses 8.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Salvador
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Montserrat
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.06 xG 0.22
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
333 Passes 188
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
05.09.2024 Montserrat Montserrat 1-4 HT 1-1 El Salvador El Salvador CON
29.03.2021 Montserrat Montserrat 1-1 HT 0-1 El Salvador El Salvador DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Salvador
1-0
AWAY Montserrat
1.16 xG 0.14
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 4
237 Passes 174
73% Pass Accuracy 66%
30 Box Touches 5
30 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH El Salvador vs Montserrat
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Salvador nicked a narrow win over Montserrat 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had El Salvador as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, El Salvador had 56% of the ball to Montserrat's 44%, shots finished 18-4, expected goals 1.16 to 0.14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, El Salvador had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for El Salvador and 1.00 for Montserrat.

What was the final score of El Salvador vs Montserrat?

El Salvador 1-0 Montserrat in the CONCACAF Champions League on 18/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Salvador vs Montserrat?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Salvador win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split El Salvador 66%, draw 19%, Montserrat 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Salvador), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (El Salvador) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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