Küba 4-0 Saint Kitts ve Nevis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 18 Nov 2024

📅18/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.9
Over 2.5
57%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.33
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.62
6+ Goals
17%
14.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.0pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.2pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+8.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
49%
-6.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
51%
+6.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.2pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Küba EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint Kitts ve Nevis EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 4.0
Crosses 5.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Küba
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Saint Kitts ve Nevis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.56 xG 1.23
69% Ball Possession 31%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
361 Passes 123
81% Pass Accuracy 59%
18 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.11.2024 Saint Kitts ve Nevis Saint Kitts ve Nevis 2-1 HT 1-1 Küba Küba CON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Küba
4-0
AWAY Saint Kitts ve Nevis
4.61 xG 0.29
62% Ball Possession 38%
27 Total Shots 4
11 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
352 Passes 177
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
44 Box Touches 4
13 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Küba vs Saint Kitts ve Nevis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Küba ran out comfortable winners over Saint Kitts ve Nevis 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Küba as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Küba had 62% of the ball to Saint Kitts ve Nevis's 38%, shots finished 27-4, expected goals 4.61 to 0.29.

What was the final score of Küba vs Saint Kitts ve Nevis?

Küba 4-0 Saint Kitts ve Nevis in the CONCACAF Champions League on 18/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Küba vs Saint Kitts ve Nevis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Küba win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Küba 52%, draw 20%, Saint Kitts ve Nevis 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Küba), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Küba) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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