Saint Kitts ve Nevis 2-1 Küba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 15 Nov 2024

📅15/11/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.04
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
52%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.79
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.26
6+ Goals
8%
21.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+3.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
52%
Away Win
54%
-2.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.2pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint Kitts ve Nevis EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Küba EU Bookmakers 58%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint Kitts ve Nevis
2-1
AWAY Küba
1.23 xG 0.56
31% Ball Possession 69%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
123 Passes 361
59% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Saint Kitts ve Nevis vs Küba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint Kitts ve Nevis edged past Küba 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Küba at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Saint Kitts ve Nevis had 31% of the ball to Küba's 69%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.23 to 0.56.

What was the final score of Saint Kitts ve Nevis vs Küba?

Saint Kitts ve Nevis 2-1 Küba in the CONCACAF Champions League on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint Kitts ve Nevis vs Küba?

Before kick-off our model rated an Küba win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Saint Kitts ve Nevis 25%, draw 23%, Küba 52%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Küba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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