Kosta Rika 0-1 Panama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 15 Nov 2024

📅15/11/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.51
Over 2.5
29%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.06
No
63%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
41%
2.27
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
14%
5.55
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.27 — our 41% vs market 37.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.4pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.0pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.5pp
71%
Under 2.5
62%
+8.3pp
29%
Over 2.5
38%
-8.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-7.7pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kosta Rika EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Panama EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.96/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.70
+38% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +141%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
15.8 Crosses 15.4
0.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kosta Rika
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Panama
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.85 xG 1.24
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
332 Passes 425
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.11.2023 Panama Panama 3-1 HT 3-0 Kosta Rika Kosta Rika CON
17.11.2023 Kosta Rika Kosta Rika 0-3 HT 0-2 Panama Panama CON
27.06.2023 Kosta Rika Kosta Rika 1-2 HT 0-1 Panama Panama GK
29.03.2023 Kosta Rika Kosta Rika 0-1 HT 0-0 Panama Panama CON
03.06.2022 Panama Panama 2-0 HT 0-0 Kosta Rika Kosta Rika CON
28.01.2022 Kosta Rika Kosta Rika 1-0 HT 0-0 Panama Panama DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kosta Rika
0-1
AWAY Panama
0.31 xG 1.49
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
222 Passes 383
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
8 Box Touches 11
9 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kosta Rika vs Panama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panama squeezed past Kosta Rika 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Panama made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Kosta Rika had 40% of the ball to Panama's 60%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.31 to 1.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panama led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kosta Rika and 1.83 for Panama.

What was the final score of Kosta Rika vs Panama?

Kosta Rika 0-1 Panama in the CONCACAF Champions League on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kosta Rika vs Panama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kosta Rika win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Kosta Rika 36%, draw 31%, Panama 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kosta Rika) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kosta Rika) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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