Bonaire 0-1 El Salvador — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 15 Nov 2024

📅15/11/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
12.23
Draw
21%
6.26
Away
61%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.89
Over 2.5
60%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
2.19
No
42%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.49
2-3 Goals
35%
2.14
4-5 Goals
27%
2.55
6+ Goals
19%
5.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
28%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
5%
+12.8pp
21%
Draw
12%
+9.4pp
61%
Away Win
84%
-22.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
31%
+8.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
69%
-8.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
42%
+16.7pp
42%
BTTS No
58%
-16.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bonaire EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY El Salvador EU Bookmakers 90%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.64/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/0.88
-25% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -57%
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
182 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 85%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
11.0 Crosses 20.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bonaire
0W-1D-1L
AWAY El Salvador
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.14 xG 0.89
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
231 Passes 305
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 9
24 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
09.09.2024 El Salvador El Salvador 2-1 HT 1-0 Bonaire Bonaire CON
21.03.2024 El Salvador El Salvador 1-1 Bonaire Bonaire Dünya - FIFA Dışı Hazırlık
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bonaire
0-1
AWAY El Salvador
0.18 xG 0.88
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 9
237 Passes 383
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
4 Box Touches 22
5 Crosses 44
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bonaire vs El Salvador
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Salvador edged past Bonaire 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had El Salvador as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bonaire had 39% of the ball to El Salvador's 61%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.18 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, El Salvador led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bonaire and 1.50 for El Salvador.

What was the final score of Bonaire vs El Salvador?

Bonaire 0-1 El Salvador in the CONCACAF Champions League on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bonaire vs El Salvador?

Before kick-off our model rated an El Salvador win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Bonaire 17%, draw 21%, El Salvador 61%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Salvador) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (El Salvador) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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