St. Lucia 0-4 Grenada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 15 Nov 2024

📅15/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
3.45
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
13.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
35%
Away Win
35%
-0.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Lucia EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Grenada EU Bookmakers 38%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+57% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 81%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Lucia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Grenada
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.06 xG 1.01
32% Ball Possession 68%
14 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
111 Passes 358
49% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 32
8 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 0
10.09.2024 Grenada Grenada 1-2 HT 0-2 St. Lucia St. Lucia CON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Lucia
0-4
AWAY Grenada
0.53 xG 1.22
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 10
258 Passes 366
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH St. Lucia vs Grenada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grenada swept aside St. Lucia 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Grenada found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, St. Lucia had 43% of the ball to Grenada's 57%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.53 to 1.22.

What was the final score of St. Lucia vs Grenada?

St. Lucia 0-4 Grenada in the CONCACAF Champions League on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Lucia vs Grenada?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Lucia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split St. Lucia 40%, draw 25%, Grenada 35%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (St. Lucia), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Lucia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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