Jamaika 0-1 ABD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 15 Nov 2024

Jamaika
0-1 HT 0-1
ABD
📅15/11/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
37%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.95
No
62%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
37%
2.69
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
15%
4.46
6+ Goals
6%
23.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.69 — our 37% vs market 31.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
24%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+3.8pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.1pp
37%
Away Win
47%
-9.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.9pp
62%
BTTS No
53%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jamaika EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY ABD EU Bookmakers 50%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.84/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.96
-17% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
254 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
10.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.6
10.9 Crosses 18.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jamaika
0W-2D-4L
AWAY ABD
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.94 xG 1.81
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
183 Passes 507
66% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 0
22.03.2024 ABD ABD 3-1 HT 0-1 Jamaika Jamaika CON
25.06.2023 ABD ABD 1-1 HT 0-1 Jamaika Jamaika GK
17.11.2021 Jamaika Jamaika 1-1 HT 1-1 ABD ABD DKE
08.10.2021 ABD ABD 2-0 HT 0-0 Jamaika Jamaika DKE
26.07.2021 ABD ABD 1-0 HT 0-0 Jamaika Jamaika GK
25.03.2021 ABD ABD 4-1 HT 1-0 Jamaika Jamaika HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jamaika
0-1
AWAY ABD
1.62 xG 0.88
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
260 Passes 417
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 15
5 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jamaika vs ABD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ABD squeezed past Jamaika 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 33% / 37% — and on the day ABD made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Jamaika had 41% of the ball to ABD's 59%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.62 to 0.88 — the balance of chances actually favoured Jamaika.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ABD led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Jamaika and 2.00 for ABD.

What was the final score of Jamaika vs ABD?

Jamaika 0-1 ABD in the CONCACAF Champions League on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jamaika vs ABD?

Before kick-off our model rated an ABD win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Jamaika 30%, draw 33%, ABD 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ABD), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ABD) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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