Achuapa 1-0 Antigua GFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 18 Nov 2024

Achuapa
1-0 HT 1-0
Antigua GFC
📅18/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Guatemala - National League – 2024/2025

Achuapa vs Antigua GFC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
-0.5pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.3pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Achuapa v Antigua GFC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Achuapa EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
1.23/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.35
+2% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3

Achuapa vs Antigua GFC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Achuapa
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Antigua GFC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.02.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 0-2 HT 0-1 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
20.01.2024 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 2-0 HT 1-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
20.09.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 3-2 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
30.07.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 3-0 HT 1-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
30.03.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 0-0 HT 0-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
02.02.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 6-1 HT 3-1 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT

Achuapa 1-0 Antigua GFC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Achuapa
1-0
AWAY Antigua GFC
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Achuapa vs Antigua GFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Achuapa squeezed past Antigua GFC 1-0.

Our pre-match split (41% / 22% / 37%) promised a tight game; Achuapa found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Achuapa had 42% of the ball to Antigua GFC's 58%, shots finished 14-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Antigua GFC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Achuapa and 2.50 for Antigua GFC.

What was the final score of Achuapa vs Antigua GFC?

Achuapa 1-0 Antigua GFC in the Guatemala - National League on 18/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Achuapa vs Antigua GFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Achuapa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Achuapa 41%, draw 22%, Antigua GFC 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Achuapa) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Achuapa) ✗ BTTS Yes
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