AFC Sudbury 2-1 St Ives Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 18 Nov 2025

📅18/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.75
No
39%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.6pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.3pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-5.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
53%
+8.0pp
39%
BTTS No
47%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY St Ives Town EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.27/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.03
-8% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
284 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Sudbury
1W-2D-2L
AWAY St Ives Town
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.09.2025 St Ives Town St Ives Town 2-0 HT 0-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
29.03.2025 St Ives Town St Ives Town 1-3 HT 1-1 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
26.10.2024 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 0-0 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
30.03.2024 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 2-4 HT 1-1 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
14.08.2023 St Ives Town St Ives Town 1-1 HT 1-1 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Sudbury
2-1
AWAY St Ives Town
49% Ball Possession 51%
20 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH AFC Sudbury vs St Ives Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Sudbury nicked a narrow win over St Ives Town 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was St Ives Town at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, AFC Sudbury had 49% of the ball to St Ives Town's 51%, shots finished 20-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, St Ives Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for AFC Sudbury and 1.60 for St Ives Town.

What was the final score of AFC Sudbury vs St Ives Town?

AFC Sudbury 2-1 St Ives Town in the England - Non League Premier on 18/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Sudbury vs St Ives Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an St Ives Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split AFC Sudbury 30%, draw 29%, St Ives Town 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St Ives Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St Ives Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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