Erzurumspor FK 2-0 Sakaryaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 18 Dec 2024

📅18/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.16
Draw
17%
7.78
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
82%
-15.2pp
16%
Draw
10%
+5.9pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
2.84/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/3.92
+9% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -35%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
459 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzurumspor FK
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Sakaryaspor
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.18 xG 1.13
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
213 Passes 405
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2024 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
24.11.2023 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-2 HT 1-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
02.05.2023 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
03.12.2022 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzurumspor FK
2-0
AWAY Sakaryaspor
22 Total Shots 2
11 Shots on Target 1
17 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Erzurumspor FK vs Sakaryaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erzurumspor FK saw off Sakaryaspor 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Erzurumspor FK as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 22-2.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sakaryaspor led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Erzurumspor FK and 1.25 for Sakaryaspor.

What was the final score of Erzurumspor FK vs Sakaryaspor?

Erzurumspor FK 2-0 Sakaryaspor in the Turkey - Cup on 18/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erzurumspor FK vs Sakaryaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erzurumspor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Erzurumspor FK 67%, draw 16%, Sakaryaspor 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erzurumspor FK), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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