Keçiörengücü 1-4 Sivasspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 18 Dec 2024

📅18/12/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
46%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+4.4pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.9pp
46%
Away Win
54%
-8.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.1pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 58%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.25/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.81/1.73
-16% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -39%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
275 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keçiörengücü
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sivasspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 9
9 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
18.01.2024 Sivasspor Sivasspor 3-2 HT 1-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Keçiörengücü
1-4
AWAY Sivasspor
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Keçiörengücü vs Sivasspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sivasspor ran out comfortable winners over Keçiörengücü 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sivasspor as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Keçiörengücü had 41% of the ball to Sivasspor's 59%, shots finished 4-18.

What was the final score of Keçiörengücü vs Sivasspor?

Keçiörengücü 1-4 Sivasspor in the Turkey - Cup on 18/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keçiörengücü vs Sivasspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sivasspor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Keçiörengücü 28%, draw 27%, Sivasspor 46%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sivasspor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sivasspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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