Ümraniyespor 1-2 Fatih Karagümrük — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 18 Dec 2024

📅18/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.45
2-3 Goals
36%
1.91
4-5 Goals
28%
2.98
6+ Goals
12%
8.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.26
1/2
9%
27.5
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
14%
5.42
X/2
7%
6.14
X/X
19%
5.47
2/1
7%
24.3
2/2
18%
3.87
2/X
5%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.4pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.4pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.2pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük EU Bookmakers 38%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
0.25/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.52
-84% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
282 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ümraniyespor
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
2.02 xG 1.48
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
357 Passes 289
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.08.2024 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 2-2 HT 2-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük T1L
18.04.2023 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 4-2 HT 2-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor TSL
22.10.2022 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 1-3 HT 1-1 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
21.06.2020 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 1-1 HT 1-1 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük T1L
23.11.2019 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 2-3 HT 1-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
22.03.2015 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 1-0 HT 1-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ümraniyespor
1-2
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ümraniyespor vs Fatih Karagümrük
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fatih Karagümrük edged past Ümraniyespor 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Fatih Karagümrük made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Ümraniyespor had 52% of the ball to Fatih Karagümrük's 48%, shots finished 18-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fatih Karagümrük led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ümraniyespor and 2.17 for Fatih Karagümrük.

What was the final score of Ümraniyespor vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Ümraniyespor 1-2 Fatih Karagümrük in the Turkey - Cup on 18/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ümraniyespor vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ümraniyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ümraniyespor 36%, draw 30%, Fatih Karagümrük 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ümraniyespor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ümraniyespor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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