Ümraniyespor vs Fatih Karagümrük Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ümraniyespor v Fatih Karagümrük — Team-Based Signals
Ümraniyespor vs Fatih Karagümrük Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 2-1
Ümraniyespor
TSL
1-3
HT 1-1
Fatih Karagümrük
TSL
1-1
HT 1-1
Fatih Karagümrük
T1L
2-3
HT 1-0
Ümraniyespor
T1L
1-0
HT 1-0
Ümraniyespor
S2-B
1-1
HT 0-1
Fatih Karagümrük
S2-B
Ümraniyespor 2-2 Fatih Karagümrük — Actual Match Statistics
Ümraniyespor and Fatih Karagümrük shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Ümraniyespor had 61% of the ball to Fatih Karagümrük's 39%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.35 to 1.11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fatih Karagümrük led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ümraniyespor and 2.00 for Fatih Karagümrük.
What was the final score of Ümraniyespor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Ümraniyespor 2-2 Fatih Karagümrük in the Turkey - 1st Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ümraniyespor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ümraniyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ümraniyespor 36%, draw 28%, Fatih Karagümrük 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.