Çorum FK 1-1 Sakaryaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.07
6+ Goals
7%
19.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 32% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.13
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1
20%
4.72
X/2
14%
6.44
X/X
16%
4.21
2/1
5%
28.5
2/2
14%
4.84
2/X
5%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +18%
1.91/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.07
+34% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
22.0 Crosses 18.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çorum FK
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Sakaryaspor
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.38 xG 0.69
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
328 Passes 350
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2024 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 3-1 HT 1-0 Çorum FK Çorum FK T1L
23.09.2023 Çorum FK Çorum FK 1-0 HT 1-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
19.09.2021 Çorum FK Çorum FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çorum FK
1-1
AWAY Sakaryaspor
6.09 xG 0.25
77% Ball Possession 23%
38 Total Shots 1
9 Shots on Target 1
17 Corners 1
514 Passes 120
92% Pass Accuracy 65%
60 Box Touches 2
68 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Çorum FK vs Sakaryaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çorum FK and Sakaryaspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Çorum FK had 77% of the ball to Sakaryaspor's 23%, shots finished 38-1, expected goals 6.09 to 0.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Çorum FK and 1.00 for Sakaryaspor.

What was the final score of Çorum FK vs Sakaryaspor?

Çorum FK 1-1 Sakaryaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çorum FK vs Sakaryaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çorum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Çorum FK 39%, draw 27%, Sakaryaspor 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Çorum FK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Çorum FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T1L More Turkey - 1st Division
31 Aug 2024
17:00 Keçiörengücü vs Boluspor Analysis →
19:15 Ümraniyespor vs Fatih Karagümrük Analysis →
21:45 Şanlıurfaspor vs Bandırmaspor Analysis →